Key takeaways
- 1Food trucks (+7.6%), coffee shops (+5.6%) and gyms (+4.0%) added jobs fastest over the year to March 2026.
- 2Bars (-2.0%) and dry cleaning and laundry (-2.9%) lost the most; full-service restaurants were flat at -0.4%.
- 3Wages rose in all 14 types, from +1.3% in coffee shops to +5.4% in landscaping. Budget labor above last year’s figure.
In this article
Most first-time owners open one of about fourteen businesses. Not because they lack imagination, but because these are the businesses a person can learn, staff and finance without a decade in the industry: a coffee shop, a salon, a gym, a cleaning crew, a food truck.
We track those fourteen types every quarter from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. The numbers below are the national picture for the first quarter of 2026, the latest quarter BLS has published, checked on October 8, 2026. The table on our state data pages rewrites itself when the next quarter lands; this article is the snapshot with the reasoning attached.
The ranking
Ranked by the change in jobs between March 2025 and March 2026. Establishments and wages are from the same quarter. The startup range is the planning range Neur uses when it scores the Financial pillar of a report.
| Rank | Business type | Jobs, year over year | Establishments | Avg. weekly wage | Startup range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Food trucks and mobile food | +7.6% | 13,075 | $523 | $50k to $300k |
| 2 | Coffee shops and cafés | +5.6% | 89,512 | $474 | $50k to $300k |
| 3 | Gyms and fitness studios | +4.0% | 47,160 | $443 | $30k to $200k |
| 4 | Pet care and grooming | +2.5% | 28,651 | $603 | $10k to $50k |
| 5 | Nail salons | +2.1% | 34,585 | $500 | $20k to $100k |
| 6 | Quick-service restaurants | +0.2% | 272,118 | $464 | $50k to $300k |
| 7 | Cleaning and janitorial | -0.1% | 83,480 | $664 | $10k to $50k |
| 8 | Auto repair shops | -0.2% | 86,416 | $1,155 | $50k to $300k |
| 9 | Full-service restaurants | -0.4% | 265,527 | $602 | $50k to $300k |
| 10 | Hair and beauty salons | -0.8% | 77,594 | $670 | $20k to $100k |
| 11 | Child day care | -1.1% | 79,617 | $632 | $30k to $150k |
| 12 | Landscaping services | -1.4% | 124,018 | $971 | $10k to $50k |
| 13 | Bars and taverns | -2.0% | 41,912 | $515 | $50k to $300k |
| 14 | Dry cleaning and laundry | -2.9% | 14,031 | $629 | $25k to $150k |
Two things to keep in mind when reading it. The QCEW counts establishments with employees, so a one-person food truck or a solo house cleaner with no payroll is not in these numbers. And a percentage on a small base swings more than one on a large base: food trucks employ 43,000 people nationally, full-service restaurants employ 5.2 million.
What is growing, and why
Food, coffee and fitness are the top three. Each sells something people buy weekly for under $30. That is the kind of demand that holds up when household budgets tighten: a $6 latte survives a cutback that a $60 dinner does not. Food trucks are also the cheapest way into food service, which is why establishment counts grew 8.4% in a year, faster than jobs.
Pet care and nail salons round out the growth list. Both are habit businesses with small tickets and loyal repeat customers. Pet care also has the best combination in the table of low startup cost ($10,000 to $50,000) and positive growth.
Wages rose in every category. Even where jobs fell, average weekly pay went up, from 1.3% in coffee shops to 5.4% in landscaping. If you are modeling a business, assume labor costs more than the figure you remember from last year.
What is shrinking, and what it means for a new owner
The bottom of the table is not a list of businesses to avoid. It is a list of businesses where the pitch has to be sharper.
- •Bars and taverns (-2.0%) are losing jobs as younger customers drink less. A bar that is also a kitchen, a venue or a daytime café has a different trend than a bar that is only a bar.
- •Dry cleaning and laundry (-2.9%) is a long-running decline in dry cleaning specifically. Laundromats in dense renter neighborhoods are a separate story the national number hides; check the county.
- •Landscaping (-1.4% jobs, +1.9% establishments) is fragmenting: more crews, fewer employees per crew. That is a market where a well-run two-truck operation competes with a lot of one-truck operations.
- •Child day care (-1.1%) is capacity-constrained by staffing and licensing, not by demand. Waiting lists are long in most metros. The business is hard to staff, not hard to fill.
- •Full-service restaurants (-0.4%) are flat, which for the largest category in the table means the market is mature. Winners take share from losers rather than from growth.
How to use this
National growth tells you the direction of the wind. It does not tell you whether your city has room. A coffee shop in a county with 40 cafés per 100,000 residents and a coffee shop in a county with 15 are different businesses, even though both ride the same +5.6%.
Three steps:
- 1Check the trend in your state on the state rankings. The leaders change by state; food trucks lead 22 states this quarter, gyms lead Tennessee at +46%.
- 2Check how crowded your county already is with the free saturation check, which compares establishments per 100,000 residents in your county against the state and the country.
- 3If both look good, run a Neur report for the specific business in the specific city. It pulls the competitors on the map, the demographics within a drive, the local wages from the same BLS source, and scores the whole thing.
Quick answers
- Which small business is growing fastest in 2026?
- Food trucks and mobile food, with employment up 7.6% over the year to 2026 Q1 in BLS data, followed by coffee shops (5.6%) and gyms and fitness studios (4.0%). All three are consumer businesses with low ticket sizes and recurring visits.
- Does job growth mean a business type is a good idea?
- It means demand is rising faster than the industry can staff it, which is a good sign for a new entrant. It does not say anything about your city, your corner or your budget. Growth is a tailwind, not a verdict.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- The Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, private-sector rows for 14 six-digit NAICS industries. Employment is the March 2026 level compared with March 2025. Startup ranges are the planning ranges Neur uses in its Financial pillar.
Sources and method
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2026 Q1, private ownership, NAICS 722515, 722511, 722513, 722410, 722330, 713940, 812112, 812113, 624410, 811111, 812910, 561730, 561720, 812320. Checked October 8, 2026. Startup ranges: Neur planning table.
Researched and drafted with AI assistance from the public data above, then reviewed by Neur before publishing. Figures carry the date they were checked; the update date changes when a figure is corrected. How Neur Research works. Informational only; not business, legal or financial advice.
Related
- 22states where food trucks lead the growth rankingIndustry Spotlights
Food Trucks Are the Fastest-Growing Small Business in 22 States
Mobile food added jobs faster than any other common small business over the year to March 2026, and it leads the ranking in 22 states, from Wyoming to Georgia. Here is where the growth is, what the trucks pay, what one costs to start, and the three things that decide whether yours works.
Oct 8, 2026 · 4 min read - 30–40%lower rent in San Antonio than in AustinIndustry Spotlights
Best Cities to Open a Gym or Fitness Studio in 2026
Boutique fitness keeps growing, but studio economics are brutal in the wrong market. We scored US metros on demographics, competition, and rent to find the best bets.
Updated Sep 22, 2026 · 2 min read - $18–22per sq ft, commercial rent in the top-ranked metroIndustry Spotlights
Best Cities to Open a Coffee Shop in 2026
We analyzed Census demographics, competition density, and commercial rent data across 50 metro areas to find the top cities for a new coffee shop.
Updated Sep 22, 2026 · 2 min read



